The first price or suggestion you hear can drag everything else toward it, even when it is arbitrary. Try pausing to generate a second reference point, compare unit prices, and ask what you would decide if the initial number never appeared anywhere.
Shocking headlines make rare risks feel common, while mundane dangers fade from memory. Rebalance by checking base rates, listing three counterexamples, and asking whether your concern would shrink if you had not seen that vivid story repeated across feeds and conversations all day.
When algorithms learn your preferences, they serve posts that echo them, tightening a loop where only agreeable evidence survives. Break the loop by following credible opposites, hiding inflammatory bait, and writing your prediction before reading, then scoring the accuracy afterward for calibration.